Crunchster's Normalised Trend Strategy

Script from: TradingViewSwingTrend followingVolatility

Crunchster's Normalised Trend Strategy employs a 'real price' series, adjusted for volatility, for signal generation. Daily timeframe analysis involves a Hull moving average to determine trends, with a recommended 100-day period. Positions are taken long or short based on real price crossovers with the HMA. Position sizing is inversely related to recent volatility and tailored to a user-defined risk target. Strategy enhancements include toggling trade directions and improved chart visuals.

Audit verdict

Not rankedUpdated Jul 28, 2026

No reliable edge found

Its average result can't be told apart from chance, so it stays out of our rankings. The script itself passed our repainting audit.

2,341backtests3 markets

21robust scoreranked median 52

0.29p-valueranked median 0.24

0/40pass quality gatebacktests >15 trades

Audit details

How we decide whether a strategy enters our rankings. Read the methodology →

✓

Repainting audit

8 of 8 checks passed.

✓

Script availability

Open-source, still published on TradingView.

Statistical edge

Average t-statistic 1.37 (p = 0.29), below the median of 1.98 (p = 0.24) for ranked strategies.

Quality gate

None of the 40 backtests with more than 15 trades passes our quality gate.

Robust score

21/100, below the median of 52 for ranked strategies.

How its evidence compares

The t-statistic measures how far the average result sits from zero relative to its noise. Below about 2, it is within what random entries produce.

1.37

avg. t-statistic

1.98

median, ranked strategies

Best 5 of 2,341 backtests

Shown for transparency.

Symbol	Timeframe	Net profit	Profit factor	Trades	Max drawdown
SAND / TetherUS BINANCE:SANDUSDT	1D	+194%	3.16	159	5%
FLOKI / TetherUS BINANCE:FLOKIUSDT	1D	+175%	3.68	94	10%
AVAX / TetherUS BINANCE:AVAXUSDT	1D	+121%	2.32	157	13%
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. NYSE:AMC	4H	+80%	1.39	261	34%
Boeing Company (The) NYSE:BA	4H	+75%	1.45	326	16%

⚠Selected after the fact: these are the best 5 of 2,341 runs, not what to expect from this strategy.

Is Crunchster's Normalised Trend Strategy profitable?

Not reliably, based on our tests. Across 2,341 backtests, 0 of 40 with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate. The best result is +194% on SAND / TetherUS (1D, 159 trades). On average, its results are statistically indistinguishable from chance (p = 0.29).

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