Adaptive Price Channel Strategy

Script from: TradingViewSwingBreakoutTrend followingVolatility

The Adaptive Price Channel Strategy leverages ATR and ADX indicators to distinguish between trending and sideways markets. It establishes a dynamic price channel, entering long positions when prices surpass the upper boundary or short positions when dropping below the lower boundary, relevant to prevailing trends indicated by the ADX. Exiting trades is contingent on a predefined number of bars post-entry. Capitalizing on market conditions, it is particularly effective for certain timeframes like 2-4 and 12-hour BTC charts.

Audit verdict

Not rankedUpdated Jul 28, 2026

No reliable edge found

Its average result can't be told apart from chance, so it stays out of our rankings. The script itself passed our repainting audit.

2,162backtests3 markets

19robust scoreranked median 52

0.28p-valueranked median 0.24

0/151pass quality gatebacktests >15 trades

Audit details

How we decide whether a strategy enters our rankings. Read the methodology →

✓

Repainting audit

8 of 8 checks passed.

✓

Script availability

Open-source, still published on TradingView.

Statistical edge

Average t-statistic 1.56 (p = 0.28), below the median of 1.98 (p = 0.24) for ranked strategies.

Quality gate

None of the 151 backtests with more than 15 trades passes our quality gate.

Robust score

19/100, below the median of 52 for ranked strategies.

How its evidence compares

The t-statistic measures how far the average result sits from zero relative to its noise. Below about 2, it is within what random entries produce.

1.56

avg. t-statistic

1.98

median, ranked strategies

Best 5 of 2,162 backtests

Shown for transparency.

Symbol	Timeframe	Net profit	Profit factor	Trades	Max drawdown
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ:MARA	1H	+111,078%	1.68	453	66%
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. NYSE:AMC	1H	+60,389%	1.36	466	98%
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. NYSE:AMC	2H	+37,214%	1.94	252	98%
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ:MARA	4H	+12,328%	1.68	151	64%
Riot Platforms, Inc. NASDAQ:RIOT	2H	+12,236%	1.52	283	58%

⚠Selected after the fact: these are the best 5 of 2,162 runs, not what to expect from this strategy.

Is Adaptive Price Channel Strategy profitable?

Not reliably, based on our tests. Across 2,162 backtests, 0 of 151 with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate. The best result is +111,078% on Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (1H, 453 trades). On average, its results are statistically indistinguishable from chance (p = 0.28).

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