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STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

Script from: TradingView

Swing

Trend following

Volatility

The STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT strategy integrates Gaussian kernel functions to weight moving average calculations and includes standard deviation filtering for improved signal reliability. With a backtesting framework incorporating the "True Range Double" for volatility skew recognition, the strategy allows for detailed fine-tuning of take profits, stop losses, and can delay signals to prevent repainting. A robust mathematical approach requires traders to engage with the underlying mechanics for full efficacy.

Binance USD (BUSDUSD)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ 4 h

1.29

Risk Reward

3.12 %

Total ROI

21

Total Trades

Binance USD (BUSDUSD)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ 4 h

1.29

Risk Reward

3.12 %

Total ROI

21

Total Trades

IMX / TetherUS (IMXUSDT)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ Daily

1.12

Risk Reward

74.76 %

Total ROI

52

Total Trades

FTX Token (FTTUSD)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ 4 h

1.12

Risk Reward

42.05 %

Total ROI

132

Total Trades

IMX / US Dollar (IMXUSD)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ Daily

1.10

Risk Reward

90.45 %

Total ROI

58

Total Trades

Premium users only

Premium users can access all backtests with a Risk/Reward Ratio > 3

@ Daily

18.87

Risk Reward

190.05 %

Total ROI

40

Total Trades

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ Daily

1.56

Risk Reward

146.80 %

Total ROI

44

Total Trades

Elevation Oncology, Inc. (ELEV)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ 2 h

1.44

Risk Reward

358.81 %

Total ROI

110

Total Trades

Elevation Oncology, Inc. (ELEV)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ 4 h

1.44

Risk Reward

263.15 %

Total ROI

57

Total Trades

Elevation Oncology, Inc. (ELEV)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ 1 h

1.33

Risk Reward

614.78 %

Total ROI

189

Total Trades

Safety Shot, Inc. (SHOT)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ 4 h

1.31

Risk Reward

316.88 %

Total ROI

97

Total Trades

Unity Software Inc. (U)

+ STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

@ 4 h

1.29

Risk Reward

205.74 %

Total ROI

111

Total Trades
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Guide

How does the STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx] strategy work ?

The STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx] strategy incorporates a specialized moving average that emphasizes current price data through a Gaussian kernel function. This technique aims to predict current bar values rather than past prices, useful for live trading scenarios.

  • The strategy utilizes "True Range Double" for advanced ATR and ATR smoothing, tackling volatility skew.
  • It offers configurable options for 1-2 take profits, stop-loss levels, and has a mechanism ensuring signals do not exist on the same candle as entry—signals are delayed by one candle.
  • Integration with its INDICATOR counterpart is essential for alerts and signals, with an important distinction that strategies will not paint "L" or "S" signals until the entry occurs, avoiding repainting on the current candle.
  • Backtest periods can be defined by setting specific dates.
  • Understanding the impact of Heikin-Ashi candles is crucial, with the ability to switch between default standard candles and Heikin-Ashi in the source selection.
  • This is a computational-heavy strategy and requires thorough research for proper application, ensuring traders understand its mathematical nature.
  • The Gaussian kernel function employed is part of non-parametric regression, fulfilling criteria such as symmetry, an integral of one, and non-negative values, and is utilized for its smoothing capabilities governed by bandwidth.

How to use the STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx] strategy ?

This trading strategy appears incomplete and lacks the necessary information for a proper explanation due to a provided script value of "-1," which is not indicative of any actual trading strategy or script on TradingView.

To trade this strategy manually on TradingView, you would require a full script or at least a strategy outline. Without this information, no specific indicators or conditions can be identified to provide instructions for manual trading.

How to optimize the STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx] trading strategy ?

The STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx] strategy leverages advanced statistical methods to enhance the precision of trade signals. To improve this strategy through manual trading on TradingView, certain aspects can be tweaked and monitored closely.

Adjust the Kernel Bandwidth: The bandwidth parameter defines the smoothness of the moving average. Experiment with different bandwidth values to find the optimal balance between sensitivity to price changes and noise reduction. This could be done by observing the moving average line in relation to price action over various market conditions and adjusting the bandwidth until the generated signals match the trader’s risk tolerance and strategy time frame.

Incorporate Price Action: Overlay traditional price action analysis onto the Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average. Utilize support and resistance levels, trend lines, and chart patterns to inform entry and exit points, alongside the signals from the moving average. This approach grounds the statistical signals in market psychology, potentially improving trade outcomes.

  • Filter Signals: Enhance the standard deviation filter already applied by also considering economic news events or market sentiment indicators that may affect price volatility. This additional layer of filtering can help to avoid false signals during irregular market conditions.
  • Backtesting: Manual backtesting over different time frames and market conditions will help tailor the strategy’s parameters. This allows for the discovery of the most effective settings and provides insights into the strategy’s performance and potential drawdowns.
  • Delaying Execution: The strategy calls for a one-candle delay post signal to avoid repainting. However, assessing the momentum and volume of the current candle before execution may offer additional confirmation, minimizing the risk of entering during a false signal.

Custom Take Profits and Stop Loss: The strategy proposes 1-2 take profit levels; by analyzing historical data, traders could customize these levels for specific instruments. Traders should assess the average price movement after signal generation to optimize the take profit and stop loss settings according to the asset’s typical behavior.

Understanding the underpinning concepts of kernel functions and Heikin-Ashi candles is essential. Traders should take time to study these concepts to accurately interpret signals. Applying enhancements to the STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT requires consistent review and adjustment to align with evolving market conditions and trader objectives.

For which kind of traders is the STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx] strategy suitable ?

The STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx] strategy is tailored for traders deeply acquainted with statistical analysis and those who have a penchant for incorporating quantitative methods into their trading. It suits a trading style that is centered around meticulous backtesting and optimization of parameters, ideal for:

  • Technical Analysts: Traders with a strong grasp of technical analysis who can blend kernel-based moving averages with classic technical patterns.
  • Algorithmic Traders: Those interested in algorithmic trading will find the strategy’s mathematical foundation aligns with systematic, rule-based trading approaches.
  • Swing Traders: The built-in delay of exit signals favors swing traders by potentially reducing noise and false signals associated with short-term fluctuations.

This strategy demands a robust understanding of market dynamics and a commitment to ongoing research, making it less suitable for novice traders or those with a preference for simplistic trading setups.

Key Takeaways of STD-Filtered, Gaussian-Kernel-Weighted Moving Average BT [Loxx]

  • Strategy Essence: Utilizes Gaussian kernel functions for a non-repainting, weighted moving average; appropriate for technical and algorithmic traders.
  • How it Works: Employs "True Range Double" to assess volatility and smooths out price data using kernel estimation for refined signals.
  • Manual Trading: Adjust bandwidth settings, apply price action analysis, and incorporate additional filtering to improve signal accuracy.
  • Optimization: Backtesting across various markets and conditions is crucial to tailor parameters and understand the strategy's behavior.
  • Avoiding Repainting: Signals intentionally delayed by one candle to maintain integrity and prevent repainting.
  • Risk Management: Customizable take profit and stop loss levels based on asset volatility and historical movement; commitment to studying kernel functions and Heikin-Ashi candles recommended.
  • Trading Suitability: Best for experienced traders with a strong foundation in statistics and in-depth market knowledge.
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