Trend Identifier Strategy

Script from: TradingViewSwingTrend followingMomentumVolume

The Trend Identifier Strategy utilizes a smoothed moving average, optimized for long-term BTC.USD trading. It operates on a four-stage cycle framework, informed by derivatives, aiming at a higher Sortino Ratio than simple HODLing. Traders can enhance it by integrating 'Accumulation/Distribution Bands & Signals' and 'Exponential Top and Bottom Finder' for additional entry and exit signals.

Audit verdict

Not rankedUpdated Jul 28, 2026

No reliable edge found

Its average result can't be told apart from chance, so it stays out of our rankings. The script itself passed our repainting audit.

2,099backtests3 markets

29robust scoreranked median 52

0.42p-valueranked median 0.24

2/114pass quality gatebacktests >15 trades

Audit details

How we decide whether a strategy enters our rankings. Read the methodology →

✓

Repainting audit

8 of 8 checks passed.

✓

Script availability

Open-source, still published on TradingView.

Statistical edge

Average t-statistic 1.03 (p = 0.42), below the median of 1.98 (p = 0.24) for ranked strategies.

✓

Quality gate

2 of 114 backtests with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate.

Robust score

29/100, below the median of 52 for ranked strategies.

How its evidence compares

The t-statistic measures how far the average result sits from zero relative to its noise. Below about 2, it is within what random entries produce.

1.03

avg. t-statistic

1.98

median, ranked strategies

Best 5 of 2,099 backtests

Shown for transparency.

Symbol	Timeframe	Net profit	Profit factor	Trades	Max drawdown
Cronos/Tether OKX:CROUSDT	1D	+3,425%	3.54	15	78%
MongoDB, Inc. NASDAQ:MDB	1H	+2,269%	4.17	110	54%
Ford Motor Company NYSE:F	1D	+1,879%	1.31	446	84%
Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) NYSE:RIG	1D	+1,164%	1.21	218	81%
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd NASDAQ:CRDO	1H	+787%	13.65	38	32%

⚠Selected after the fact: these are the best 5 of 2,099 runs, not what to expect from this strategy.

Is Trend Identifier Strategy profitable?

Not reliably, based on our tests. Across 2,099 backtests, 2 of 114 with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate. The best result is +3,425% on Cronos/Tether (1D, 15 trades). On average, its results are statistically indistinguishable from chance (p = 0.42).

Strategies that passed our audit

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77/100robust score

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74/100robust score

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