Moon Phases Strategy [LuxAlgo]

Script from: TradingViewSwingTrend followingMean reversionVolume

The "Moon Phases Strategy [LuxAlgo]" utilizes the concept that moon phases influence market behavior, initiating trades based on an estimated lunar cycle. Trades are defaulted to go long at new moons and short at full moons, with options to reverse or follow the trend using higher or lower moon positions. It incorporates moon phase periodicity but adjusts for discrepancies on larger timeframes. Testing on BTCUSD, TSLA, and EURUSD shows varied performance metrics.

Audit verdict

Not rankedUpdated Jul 28, 2026

No reliable edge found

Its average result can't be told apart from chance, so it stays out of our rankings. The script itself passed our repainting audit.

753backtests3 markets

27robust scoreranked median 52

0.35p-valueranked median 0.24

0/95pass quality gatebacktests >15 trades

Audit details

How we decide whether a strategy enters our rankings. Read the methodology →

✓

Repainting audit

8 of 8 checks passed.

✓

Script availability

Open-source, still published on TradingView.

Statistical edge

Average t-statistic 1.10 (p = 0.35), below the median of 1.98 (p = 0.24) for ranked strategies.

Quality gate

None of the 95 backtests with more than 15 trades passes our quality gate.

Robust score

27/100, below the median of 52 for ranked strategies.

How its evidence compares

The t-statistic measures how far the average result sits from zero relative to its noise. Below about 2, it is within what random entries produce.

1.10

avg. t-statistic

1.98

median, ranked strategies

Best 5 of 753 backtests

Shown for transparency.

Symbol	Timeframe	Net profit	Profit factor	Trades	Max drawdown
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Series A NASDAQ:WBD	4H	+2,724%	1.48	520	71%
Newmont Corporation NYSE:NEM	2H	+1,220%	1.08	511	79%
Cisco Systems, Inc. NASDAQ:CSCO	4H	+665%	1.14	650	78%
HP Inc. NYSE:HPQ	4H	+451%	1.19	555	78%
Viatris Inc. NASDAQ:VTRS	4H	+408%	1.06	441	78%

⚠Selected after the fact: these are the best 5 of 753 runs, not what to expect from this strategy.

Is Moon Phases Strategy [LuxAlgo] profitable?

Not reliably, based on our tests. Across 753 backtests, 0 of 95 with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate. The best result is +2,724% on Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Series A (4H, 520 trades). On average, its results are statistically indistinguishable from chance (p = 0.35).

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