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Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN]

Script from: TradingView

LongTerm

Scalping

Trend following

Momentum

Bot

Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN] automates "The ULTIMATE Scalping Strategy" with claimed 98.3% win rate, debunked via backtesting. It utilizes UT Bot Alerts, STC Indicator, and Basic Hull Ma on 5-minute NVDA candles, triggering longs with new UT buy signals, STC under 25 and rising, and a green Hull. Shorts occur with UT sell signals, STC over 75 and falling, and a red Hull. Developed for educational exploration of trading claims.

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Guide

How does the Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN] strategy work ?

The Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN] aims to deconstruct and automate popular manual trading strategies for verification and potential autonomous use. It scrutinizes the "The ULTIMATE Scalping Trading Strategy for 2022" which boasts a high win rate.

In this strategy, three public indicators are employed:

  • UT Bot Alerts by QuantNomad for generating buy and sell signals.
  • STC Indicator, a refined version of MACD by shayankm, indicates the momentum and trend direction.
  • Basic Hull MA Pack by InSilico, a modified moving average for identifying market trends.

Trading involves:

  • 5-minute or 15-minute candles, depending on the version.
  • Long entries when UT Bot issues a buy signal, STC is green and rises from below 25, and the Hull Suite is green.
  • Short entries when UT Bot issues a sell signal, STC is red and drops from above 75, and the Hull Suite is red.

The strategy was backtested with expected discrepancies from the claimed success rates, leading to its categorization as 'busted'. While automated for educational purposes, the creators emphasize not to rely on this strategy for live trading practices.

How to use the Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN] strategy ?

pinescript //@version=4 strategy("MyEMA Strategy", overlay=true) // Define the length of the exponential moving averages shortLength = input(9, minval=1, title="Short Length EMA") longLength = input(21, minval=1, title="Long Length EMA") // Initialize the EMA indicators shortEMA = ema(close, shortLength) longEMA = ema(close, longLength) // Plot EMAs on the chart plot(shortEMA, title="Short EMA", color=color.red) plot(longEMA, title="Long EMA", color=color.blue) // Define entry conditions longCondition = crossover(shortEMA, longEMA) if (longCondition) strategy.entry("Long Entry", strategy.long) // Define exit conditions exitCondition = crossunder(shortEMA, longEMA) if (exitCondition) strategy.close("Long Entry")

This trading strategy uses two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), a short-term (9-period) and a long-term (21-period), it generates buy signals when the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA, and it suggests selling or closing the position when the short-term EMA crosses below the long-term EMA.

To trade this strategy manually on TradingView:

  • Add two EMA indicators to your chart and set one to 9 periods (Short EMA) and the other to 21 periods (Long EMA).
  • Monitor the EMAs, and when the Short EMA (9) crosses above the Long EMA (21), take a long/buy position.
  • Stay in the trade until the Short EMA (9) crosses below the Long EMA (21), at which point you exit the trade or sell your position.

How to optimize the Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN] trading strategy ?

Improving the automated "Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN]" for manual trading on TradingView involves refining indicator settings, enhancing trade entry/exit conditions, and incorporating additional market analysis methods. Here's a plan to enhance this strategy for manual execution:

  • Optimize Indicator Parameters: Adjust the UT Bot Alerts, STC Indicator, and Hull Moving Average settings to better suit the security being traded, its volatility, and timeframe. Fine-tuning these parameters may lead to more accurate signals. For instance, tweaking the Hull MA length for responsiveness or modifying the STC input values for fewer but more reliable signals.
  • Additional Confirmation Tools: Add confirmation indicators such as RSI or Stochastic to avoid false signals. For instance, only consider long positions when the RSI is above 50, improving the overall trend direction assurance.
  • Volume Confirmation: Analyze volume data to confirm trend strength. Check for increasing volume on trend confirmation and diminishing volume when a reversal may be imminent.
  • Multiple Time Frame Analysis: Employ a top-down approach, starting with a higher time frame to establish the overall trend and using the given strategy on a lower time frame for entry points. Widen the gap between short and long Hull MAs for the larger trend and stick to the given settings for entry time frame.
  • Price Action and Support/Resistance: Integrate classic price action techniques and support/resistance levels to determine more precise entry and exit points. Monitor for pullbacks or breakouts around these levels as additional entry or exit triggers.
  • Trade Management: Implement a solid risk management protocol with a predetermined risk-to-reward ratio. Use trailing stops to let profits run while protecting gains from market reversals.
  • Economic Calendar Awareness: Stay informed about upcoming fundamental events using an economic calendar. Avoid entering new trades right before major news releases as they can lead to increased volatility and slippage.
  • Backtesting Improvements: Manually backtest the adapted strategy over different market conditions and time periods to determine its robustness and identify any potential adjustments needed for consistency.
  • Journaling and Review: Maintain a detailed trade journal and regularly review trades to identify patterns in winning and losing trades, refining the strategy over time based on real experience.

For which kind of traders is the Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN] strategy suitable ?

This strategy is specifically tailored for traders who are intrigued by algorithmic approaches and interested in applying a systematic, rule-based method to debunk or validate existing strategies. It is well-suited for:

  • Technical traders: who rely on technical analysis and are proficient in reading indicators such as the UT Bot Alerts, STC Indicator, and Hull Moving Average.
  • Scalpers: considering the use of 5-minute or 15-minute candles, this strategy is ideal for those who aim for quick, frequent trades and small price movements.
  • Day traders: who can dedicate time to monitor the markets closely and make swift decisions based on the strategy's signals throughout the trading day.
  • Educational pursuers: individuals focused on testing and learning about various strategies' claims, rather than solely seeking profit.

This approach aligns with an analytical trading style that emphasizes backtesting and continuous strategy evaluation.

Key Takeaways of Strategy Myth-Busting #1 - UT Bot+STC+Hull [MYN]

  • Strategy Essence: Automates public manual trading strategies, using three indicators—UT Bot Alerts, STC, and Hull MA—to validate claims.
  • Operation Method: Generates long/short signals based on specific indicator conditions on 5-minute or 15-minute candles.
  • Manual Trading Application: Customize indicator settings, apply additional confirmation tools and use volume analysis for better signal accuracy.
  • Multiple Time Frame Analysis: Establish overarching trends on higher time frames for more reliable entry points on lower time frames.
  • Price Action Consideration: Utilize support/resistance levels for refined entry/exit points and combine with indicator signals.
  • Risk Management: Predefine risk-to-reward ratios and employ trailing stops to protect gains.
  • Adaptability: Best for technical traders, scalpers, day traders, and those focused on strategy testing.
  • Continuous Improvement: Backtest adjustments and maintain a trade journal for ongoing strategy refinement.
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