Moving Regression Band Breakout strategy

Script from: TradingViewSwingBreakoutTrend followingVolatility

This Moving Regression Band Breakout strategy involves going long when the price closes above the upper prediction band and exiting when it drops below the support defined by the lower band, adjusting for ATR or the central line. Employ a fixed stop loss upon entry and move it to breakeven when appropriate. Consider the Moving Regression curve's slope for entry validation. Adapt the channel width, lag, and smoothness with the model's adjustable parameters for market-specific optimization.

Audit verdict

Not rankedUpdated Jul 28, 2026

No reliable edge found

Its average result can't be told apart from chance, so it stays out of our rankings. The script itself passed our repainting audit.

2,164backtests3 markets

30robust scoreranked median 52

0.41p-valueranked median 0.24

0/123pass quality gatebacktests >15 trades

Audit details

How we decide whether a strategy enters our rankings. Read the methodology →

✓

Repainting audit

8 of 8 checks passed.

✓

Script availability

Open-source, still published on TradingView.

Statistical edge

Average t-statistic 1.04 (p = 0.41), below the median of 1.98 (p = 0.24) for ranked strategies.

Quality gate

None of the 123 backtests with more than 15 trades passes our quality gate.

Robust score

30/100, below the median of 52 for ranked strategies.

How its evidence compares

The t-statistic measures how far the average result sits from zero relative to its noise. Below about 2, it is within what random entries produce.

1.04

avg. t-statistic

1.98

median, ranked strategies

Best 5 of 2,164 backtests

Shown for transparency.

Symbol	Timeframe	Net profit	Profit factor	Trades	Max drawdown
Micron Technology, Inc. NASDAQ:MU	1H	+3,707%	2.19	247	34%
Ethereum / TetherUS BINANCE:ETHUSDT	4H	+1,780%	1.16	293	74%
EGLD / TetherUS BINANCE:EGLDUSDT	4H	+967%	1.05	196	92%
CleanSpark, Inc. NASDAQ:CLSK	1D	+929%	1.32	29	85%
FTX Token / TetherUS BINANCE:FTTUSDT	1D	+815%	2.82	15	69%

⚠Selected after the fact: these are the best 5 of 2,164 runs, not what to expect from this strategy.

Is Moving Regression Band Breakout strategy profitable?

Not reliably, based on our tests. Across 2,164 backtests, 0 of 123 with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate. The best result is +3,707% on Micron Technology, Inc. (1H, 247 trades). On average, its results are statistically indistinguishable from chance (p = 0.41).

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