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Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy

Script from: TradingView

LongTerm

Trend following

Momentum

The Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy hinges on tracking quarterly changes in four key financial ratios: Current Ratio, Interest Coverage Ratio, Payables Turnover Ratio, and Gross Margin. A rising figure in any of these ratios suggests a long entry, while declining numbers trigger an exit. This approach aligns with using fundamentals for trade decisions, though it lacks risk management features and mainly serves as an educational framework.

Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)

+ Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy

@ 4 h

2.85

Risk Reward

614.40 %

Total ROI

28

Total Trades

Intuit Inc. (INTU)

+ Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy

@ 2 h

2.81

Risk Reward

394.56 %

Total ROI

26

Total Trades

Coca-Cola Company (The) (KO)

+ Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy

@ 2 h

2.80

Risk Reward

98.40 %

Total ROI

24

Total Trades

Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)

+ Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy

@ Daily

2.79

Risk Reward

591.50 %

Total ROI

28

Total Trades

Coca-Cola Company (The) (KO)

+ Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy

@ 1 h

2.76

Risk Reward

94.93 %

Total ROI

24

Total Trades

Premium users only

Premium users can access all backtests with a Risk/Reward Ratio > 3

@ Daily

5.16

Risk Reward

257.19 %

Total ROI

26

Total Trades
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Guide

How does the Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy strategy work ?

The Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy leverages key financial ratios to inform trading decisions. It relies on the sequential analysis of liquidity, leverage, efficiency, and profitability ratios derived from a company's financial statements to trigger long trades and exits. The ratios include:

  • Current ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) to assess liquidity.
  • Interest coverage ratio (EBIT / Interest expenses) to evaluate a company's ability to pay interest.
  • Payables turnover ratio (Cost of Goods Sold / Average Accounts Payable) indicating the rate of payment to suppliers.
  • Gross margin (Gross Profit / Net Sales) indicating profitability.

The strategy takes a long position if any of these ratios show an ascending trend after a quarterly comparison, indicating improved financial health or profitability. Conversely, if any ratio decreases quarter over quarter, it signals a potential exit from the long position.

A unique feature of this strategy is its reactive stance towards 'compound effects.' If one ratio declines but another improves, it closes the long position only to re-enter the next day based on the improving ratio, waiting for the next quarter's financial data release.

Given TradingView's recommendation for over 100 trades to test a strategy's robustness, the developer suggests applying this strategy across multiple stocks, accounting for limited data availability and frequency. This iterative approach reveals the correlations and potential across various stocks, enhancing the strategy's educational value especially for those interested in integrating fundamentals into their trading.

How to use the Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy strategy ?

This trading strategy utilises financial ratios to determine entry and exit points for trades based on liquidity, leverage, efficiency, profitability, and market value metrics, entering a long position when these metrics improve and exiting when they deteriorate.

To trade this strategy manually on TradingView:

  • Access financial data for the specific company: current assets, liabilities, debt, equity, inventories, etc.
  • Calculate the financial ratios: Current Ratio, Quick Ratio, Cash Ratio, Debt Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Interest Coverage Ratio, Asset Turnover Ratio, Payables Turnover Ratio, Gross Margin, Operating Margin, ROA, ROE, Earnings Per Share (EPS), Book Value per Share, and Dividend Yield Ratio.
  • Enter a long position when:
    • Current Ratio, Quick Ratio, or Cash Ratio increases compared to the previous period.
    • Debt Ratio or Debt to Equity Ratio decreases compared to the previous period.
    • Asset Turnover Ratio or Payables Turnover Ratio increases compared to the previous period.
    • Gross Margin, Operating Margin, ROA, or ROE increases compared to the previous period.
    • Dividend Yield, EPS, or Book Value per Share increases compared to the previous period.
  • Exit the long position when the inverse of the above conditions occurs, indicating a deterioration in financial health.

How to optimize the Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy trading strategy ?

The Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy uses a set of financial ratios to inform trading decisions on stocks. To enhance this strategy manually, consider the following improvements:

  • Expand financial data sources: In addition to quarterly financial statements, consider using real-time data feeds, analyst reports, and industry news. This can provide a more timely reflection of a company's financial health, which can be crucial for catching early signs of improvement or decline.
  • Incorporate macroeconomic factors: Financial ratios do not operate in a vacuum. Supplement the strategy with macroeconomic analysis to contextualize a company's performance within the broader economic environment, potentially adjusting positions ahead of significant economic events.
  • Utilize technical analysis: Incorporate chart patterns, volume analysis, and trend indicators to confirm entry and exit signals derived from financial ratios. For example, a bullish breakout on high volume can reinforce a long entry based on improving financial ratios.
  • Refine ratio selection: Assess each ratio's historical relevance to stock performance by backtesting. Identify which ratios have the strongest correlation with price movements and adjust their significance within the strategy accordingly.
  • Adjust for sector and size variations: Different industries and company sizes have different financial benchmarks. Personalize the strategy to a stock's specific context by using industry-specific ratio thresholds and benchmarks.
  • Overlay sentiment analysis: Track investor sentiment using news analysis, social media monitoring, and market commentary. Positive sentiment can complement improving financial ratios and vice versa, reinforcing entry or exit decisions.
  • Implement risk management tools: Integrate stop losses, take-profit levels, and position sizing based on the volatility of the stock and overall market conditions to better manage the inherent risks of trading.
  • Apply portfolio diversification: Analyze and trade a portfolio of stocks from different sectors to spread risk and exploit the strategy's effectiveness across various market conditions.
  • Continuous learning and adaptation: The market evolves, and so should the strategy. Regularly review and adjust the ratio calculations, screens, and interpretations to align with changing financial reporting standards and market dynamics.

For which kind of traders is the Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy strategy suitable ?

The Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy is well-suited for traders who prioritize in-depth analysis of a company's financial standing and who incorporate long-term economic trends into their trading decisions. This strategy demands a meticulous approach, making it ideal for:

  • Fundamental analysts: Traders who perform a qualitative assessment of a company's financial reports, looking beyond the numbers to the story they tell about the company's future.
  • Swing traders: Individuals who hold positions for several days to several months, aiming to capture gains from a stock's predicted upward or downward trends indicated by improvements or declines in financial ratios.
  • Position traders: Traders with the longest time horizon, who base their trades on a company's longer-term performance forecasts derived from analyzing financial ratios over sequential quarters.

This style of trading requires a patient, disciplined approach and a willingness to delve into corporate finance and economic principles.

Key Takeaways of Financial Ratios Fundamental Strategy

  • Strategy essence: Utilizes key financial ratios to inform trading decisions, focusing on liquidity, leverage, efficiency, profitability, and market value metrics.
  • Operation mechanics: Enters/exits long positions based on quarterly financial ratio trends, ascending signals entries, descending signals exits.
  • Automation vs Manual: Scripted for automation in TradingView, with the option to use alerts or supplement with manual analysis for greater precision.
  • Enhancement tips: Include real-time data, macroeconomic context, technical indicators, and refined ratio analysis tailored to industry and company size variations.
  • Risk management: Implement stop losses, dynamic position sizing, and integrate portfolio diversification strategies to mitigate risks.
  • Trader profile: Suitable for fundamental analysts, swing traders, and position traders who value company fundamentals and have a longer-term view.
  • Optimization strategies: Regularly update and adjust measures to account for evolving markets and financial reporting changes.
  • Sentiment overlay: Bolster financial ratio signals with market sentiment analysis from news and social media sources.
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