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Volatility System

Script from: TradingView

LongTerm

Volatility

Breakout

The Volatility System strategy leverages the Average True Range (ATR) to quantify market volatility and enters trades when price changes surpass a set threshold defined by the ATR multiplied by a constant. Originally effective in certain markets, its performance may benefit from the inclusion of stop loss and take profit modifications to adapt to current volatile and noisy market environments.

SOL / TetherUS (SOLUSDT)

+ Volatility System

@ 2 h

2.58

Risk Reward

55,218.46 %

Total ROI

121

Total Trades

APTUSDT SPOT (APTUSDT)

+ Volatility System

@ 4 h

1.95

Risk Reward

515.35 %

Total ROI

30

Total Trades

Aptos (APTOUSD)

+ Volatility System

@ 4 h

1.81

Risk Reward

375.66 %

Total ROI

34

Total Trades

IMX / TetherUS (IMXUSDT)

+ Volatility System

@ 2 h

1.59

Risk Reward

947.18 %

Total ROI

83

Total Trades

UNI / TetherUS (UNIUSDT)

+ Volatility System

@ 2 h

1.52

Risk Reward

11,555.16 %

Total ROI

120

Total Trades

Premium users only

Premium users can access all backtests with a Risk/Reward Ratio > 3

@ 4 h

18.22

Risk Reward

2,310.09 %

Total ROI

19

Total Trades

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL)

+ Volatility System

@ 2 h

2.42

Risk Reward

489.35 %

Total ROI

65

Total Trades

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

+ Volatility System

@ 15 min

1.59

Risk Reward

807.50 %

Total ROI

275

Total Trades

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)

+ Volatility System

@ 4 h

1.58

Risk Reward

297.51 %

Total ROI

34

Total Trades

Cameco Corporation (CCJ)

+ Volatility System

@ 5 min

1.50

Risk Reward

142.79 %

Total ROI

218

Total Trades

Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)

+ Volatility System

@ 15 min

1.48

Risk Reward

134.58 %

Total ROI

238

Total Trades

C3.ai, Inc. (AI)

+ Volatility System

@ 4 h

1.46

Risk Reward

83.58 %

Total ROI

19

Total Trades
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Guide

How does the Volatility System strategy work ?

The Volatility System strategy capitalizes on the idea that markets tend to follow through on episodes of high volatility. At its core, it utilizes the Average True Range (ATR), a popular volatility measure, in combination with a predetermined multiplier to determine the entry point for trades. The strategy triggers orders based on whether the absolute change in the closing price surpasses a threshold—the product of the ATR and the specified multiplier.

  • ATR Calculation: The strategy calculates the ATR over a user-defined period (default 14 days) and multiplies it by the configurable constant (multiplier) to set the volatility threshold.
  • Trade Signal Condition: A trade is executed when the current bar's change in closing price is greater than the previously calculated volatility threshold. A positive change signals a long entry, while a negative change prompts a short entry.
  • Trade Execution: Orders are made at the close of the current bar if the conditions are met.

The strategy script offers visual plots on the chart for the ATR, as well as the absolute change in closing price, aiding the trader in visual analysis. While the strategy shows promise on certain charts, it lacks integrated stop loss and take profit mechanisms, which you might want to add to customize and potentially improve its performance.

How to use the Volatility System strategy ?

This trading strategy utilizes a volatility-based system where it enters a long position when the price change exceeds the ATR (Average True Range) times a set multiplier, and a short position when the negative price change exceeds the ATR times the multiplier.

To trade this strategy manually on TradingView:

  • Configure the ATR indicator with an average length of 14 periods.
  • Multiply the ATR value by 2 to get your volatility threshold.
  • Set up a price change detection by subtracting the current close from the previous close.
  • Enter a long position when the price change is greater than the volatility threshold.
  • Enter a short position when the price change is less than the negative volatility threshold.
  • Use the ATR and the absolute price change to visually assess conditions on a chart.
  • Plot both the ATR indicator and absolute value of the closing change on your chart for reference, adjusting their colors to white and red respectively for visibility.

How to optimize the Volatility System trading strategy ?

To enhance the 'Volatility System' strategy in a manual trading context, several adjustments can be made. The main focus should be on introducing risk management techniques, refining entry/exit conditions, and customizing the strategy to align with current market conditions and trader's risk tolerance.

  • Introduce Stop Loss and Take Profit: Incorporate a fixed or trailing stop loss to limit potential losses. A take profit level can be set at a multiple of the ATR to systematically lock in profits.
  • Filter Trades with Additional Indicators: Use indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to filter trades, taking positions only when volatility breakouts align with overall market momentum.
  • Adapt Multiplier Based on Market Conditions: Adjust the ATR multiplier in response to different market phases. Lower the multiplier in calm markets to capture smaller moves and increase it during more volatile periods to avoid market noise.
  • Dynamic Position Sizing: Instead of committing a fixed percentage of equity per trade, use dynamic position sizing based on the volatility level. Lower position sizes in high volatility and increase sizes when volatility is low, balancing risk exposure accordingly.
  • Time Frame Analysis: Conduct multiple time frame analysis to confirm entry signals. Higher time frame confirmation can provide a stronger context for the trade, potentially improving success rates.
  • Price Action Confirmation: Await confirmation from price action patterns such as breakouts, candlestick formations, or support and resistance retests following the volatility signal.
  • Backtest Different Market Conditions: Manually backtest the refined strategy across various instruments and market conditions to verify its robustness and make further adjustments.
  • Discretionary Exit Points: Set discretionary exit points based on market news, economic events, or other unforeseen market conditions that could impact trade outcomes.

Manual implementation allows for a flexible approach, letting traders adjust the strategy parameters in real-time based on their experience and assessment of the market. By fine-tuning the components of the 'Volatility System' strategy and incorporating sound risk management practices, traders can potentially improve its effectiveness and adapt it to suit their trading style and the nuances of the current market environment.

For which kind of traders is the Volatility System strategy suitable ?

This trading strategy is particularly suited for traders who thrive in environments of high market volatility and are adept at managing risk without the crutch of predefined stop loss and take profit levels. The nature of the strategy dictates a more hands-on approach, which might appeal to:

  • Active Day Traders: Who can monitor the markets consistently and react swiftly to volatility signals.
  • Sophisticated Swing Traders: With a deep understanding of market dynamics and the ability to modify trading parameters in accordance with fluctuating market conditions.
  • Adaptive Traders: Who are comfortable with backtesting and applying modifications to suit specific instruments and time frames.

The strategy aligns with an aggressive trading style that favors quick decisions and a proactive trading stance. It demands vigilance and a keen eye for interpreting volatility to capitalize on market movements, making it less suited for passive or novice traders.

Key Takeaways of Volatility System

  • Strategy Essence: Leverages high market volatility, entering positions as the price movement exceeds ATR times a multiplier.
  • Automated vs. Manual: Originally an automated strategy, but can be traded manually using TradingView's ATR indicator and price change calculations to identify entry points.
  • Optimizing Usage: Introduce risk management elements like stop loss and take profit; use additional indicators for confirming signals and adjust ATR multiplier to reflect current market volatility.
  • Traders' Suitability: Best for active day traders and experienced swing traders who can closely monitor the markets and alter strategy parameters dynamically.
  • Risk Management: Implement dynamic position sizing based on volatility and establish exit criteria for adapting to market news and conditions beyond price movements.
  • Enhancing Performance: Additional price action confirmation and multiple time frame analysis can refine entry and exit points for improved trade efficacy.
  • Customization: Adapt the strategy by conducting backtests in various market conditions and integrating findings to tailor to the trader’s preferences and market state.
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