Price action: Trendline Break Strategy

Script from: TradingViewIntradayPrice actionBreakoutScalpingTrend following

In the Trendline Break Strategy, traders draw trendlines connecting pivotal highs and lows. A long position is initiated when the price breaks above the trendline, while a break below signals a short entry. The strategy maintains a 1:1 risk-reward ratio. Suitable for multiple pairs and timeframes, it is best with a 5m timeframe for scalping, targeting a 2% profit, and a 1H timeframe for swing trading with a 3% profit objective. Complementing with additional indicators is advised for improved win rate.

Audit verdict

Not rankedUpdated Jul 28, 2026

No reliable edge found

Its average result can't be told apart from chance, so it stays out of our rankings.

2,195backtests3 markets

38robust scoreranked median 52

0.37p-valueranked median 0.24

6/154pass quality gatebacktests >15 trades

Audit details

How we decide whether a strategy enters our rankings. Read the methodology →

–

Repainting audit

Not run yet.

✓

Script availability

Closed-source, still published on TradingView.

Statistical edge

Average t-statistic 1.15 (p = 0.37), below the median of 1.98 (p = 0.24) for ranked strategies.

✓

Quality gate

6 of 154 backtests with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate.

Robust score

38/100, below the median of 52 for ranked strategies.

How its evidence compares

The t-statistic measures how far the average result sits from zero relative to its noise. Below about 2, it is within what random entries produce.

1.15

avg. t-statistic

1.98

median, ranked strategies

Best 5 of 2,195 backtests

Shown for transparency.

Symbol	Timeframe	Net profit	Profit factor	Trades	Max drawdown
Novavax, Inc. NASDAQ:NVAX	1D	+295%	1.42	237	51%
Plug Power, Inc. NASDAQ:PLUG	15m	+203%	1.24	493	35%
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN AMEX:VXX	2H	+182%	1.43	232	22%
Renault EURONEXT:RNO	1H	+175%	1.30	407	31%
Spectral AI, Inc. NASDAQ:MDAI	15m	+167%	1.18	436	32%

⚠Selected after the fact: these are the best 5 of 2,195 runs, not what to expect from this strategy.

Is Price action: Trendline Break Strategy profitable?

Not reliably, based on our tests. Across 2,195 backtests, 6 of 154 with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate. The best result is +295% on Novavax, Inc. (1D, 237 trades). On average, its results are statistically indistinguishable from chance (p = 0.37).

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