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Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

Script from: TradingView

Swing

Trend following

Momentum

Bot

Candlestick

This strategy shorts during downsides while ensuring a higher timeframe downtrend. It utilizes the MACD indicator with 11- and 26-period EMAs, and EMA 450 for trend confirmation. Enter trades when MACD shows bearish cross and price is below EMA 450. Exit at 8% profit or 4% stop loss. Best on 45-minute and 1-hour timeframes, simulating 30% of holdings. Optimal in downtrends or bearish conditions.

AAVE / TetherUS (AAVEUSDT)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ Daily

1.69

Risk Reward

70.19 %

Total ROI

23

Total Trades

FIL / TetherUS (FILUSDT)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ Daily

1.68

Risk Reward

86.42 %

Total ROI

28

Total Trades

DOT / TetherUS (DOTUSDT)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ Daily

1.54

Risk Reward

70.27 %

Total ROI

27

Total Trades

QNT / TetherUS (QNTUSDT)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ Daily

1.48

Risk Reward

34.56 %

Total ROI

22

Total Trades

MKR / TetherUS (MKRUSDT)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ 1 h

1.42

Risk Reward

328.38 %

Total ROI

160

Total Trades

QNT / TetherUS (QNTUSDT)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ 15 min

1.42

Risk Reward

67.55 %

Total ROI

47

Total Trades

LVMH (MC)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ 4 h

1.84

Risk Reward

45.71 %

Total ROI

19

Total Trades

Pfizer, Inc. (PFE)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ 1 h

1.76

Risk Reward

43.85 %

Total ROI

20

Total Trades

Pfizer, Inc. (PFE)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ 15 min

1.71

Risk Reward

43.58 %

Total ROI

23

Total Trades

Nike, Inc. (NKE)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ Daily

1.70

Risk Reward

38.85 %

Total ROI

16

Total Trades

Intel Corporation (INTC)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ 2 h

1.55

Risk Reward

73.33 %

Total ROI

42

Total Trades

Snowflake Inc. (SNOW)

+ Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

@ 4 h

1.51

Risk Reward

74.32 %

Total ROI

34

Total Trades
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Guide

How does the Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule) strategy work ?

Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross Strategy targets downside moves, ensuring asset trades within a higher timeframe downtrend. It's designed for automated execution, allowing traders to hedge investments by using a portion of their holdings. Optimal for coins you plan to hold long-term, it mitigates unrealized losses and provides additional cash flow for reinvesting or holding.

Entry Conditions:

  • MACD Bearish Cross: Enter a short trade when the 11-period EMA crosses below the 26-period EMA within the MACD, indicating a potential downtrend.
  • Below EMA 450: Enter only if the asset price is below the EMA 450, confirming a sustained downtrend and avoiding uptrend entries.

Exit Conditions:

  • Take-Profit: Exit if the price decreases by 8% from entry.
  • Stop-Loss: Exit if the price increases by 4% from entry.

The strategy is backtested on 45-minute and 1-hour timeframes, utilizing 30% of available coins for more realistic results. A trading fee of 0.1% is incorporated, in line with typical exchange fees. Ideal for weak coins in downtrends, it integrates safeguards through the EMA 450 condition to sidestep entries during bullish phases.

How to use the Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule) strategy ?

This trading strategy focuses on shorting when the MACD line crosses below the signal line and the current price is below the 450-period EMA, indicating a bearish market condition. The trade begins if these conditions are met after December 1, 2021, with stop loss and take profit levels set at 4% above the highest high and 8% below the lowest low, respectively.

To trade this strategy manually:

  • Open TradingView and select the desired chart.
  • Set Up Indicators:
    • Apply the MACD indicator with settings (Fast Length: 11, Slow Length: 26, Signal Smoothing: 9).
    • Add an EMA (Exponential Moving Average) with a length of 450 to your chart.
  • Entry Condition: Enter a short position when:
    • The MACD line crosses below the signal line (a bearish MACD cross).
    • The current price is below the 450 EMA.
    • The date and time are after December 1, 2021, and you are not currently in a trade.
  • Exit Conditions:
    • Set a stop loss 4% above the highest high of the entry candle.
    • Set a take profit 8% below the lowest low of the entry candle.

How to optimize the Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule) trading strategy ?

Plan for Improving the Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross Strategy with Manual Trading

This strategy focuses on shorting during bearish trends using MACD and EMA indicators. However, adding a manual layer can enhance its precision and adaptability. Here are some ways to improve the strategy:

  • Refine Entry Conditions:
    • Volume Confirmation: Incorporate volume analysis by checking for increased volume during MACD bearish cross signals. A higher volume can validate the strength of the potential downtrend.
    • Candlestick Patterns: Look for bearish reversal candlestick patterns such as the engulfing, evening star, or dark cloud cover near the bearish MACD cross to strengthen the entry trigger.
  • Dynamic Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels:
    • Atr Indicator: Use the Average True Range (ATR) to set dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels. This helps accommodate market volatility, offering tighter control during calm markets and wider tolerances during volatile periods.
  • Assess Higher Time Frames:
    • Analyze larger timeframes like daily or weekly to ensure alignment with longer-term trends. Avoid shorting if the higher timeframe trend conflicts, adding another layer of confirmation.
  • Integrate Support and Resistance Levels:
    • Identify significant support and resistance levels on the chart. Use these levels as additional decision points to enter or exit trades, refining entry positions and improving accuracy in capturing trend moves.
  • Monitor Economic Events:
    • Keep an eye on economic calendars for any upcoming events that could impact market trends and volatility. This awareness allows manual adjustments or pauses in strategy execution when high-impact news is anticipated.
  • Advanced Risk Management:
    • Position Sizing: Adjust the position size based on risk tolerance for each trade rather than always using a fixed percentage. This flexibility can enhance risk management more personalized to market conditions and account status.

For which kind of traders is the Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule) strategy suitable ?

This strategy is designed for traders who prefer a short-term swing trading style, particularly those comfortable with automated trading platforms or willing to integrate such tools into their strategies. It suits traders with a bearish outlook on certain assets and who aim to profit from downside movements in a downtrending market.

  • Ideal for:
    • Investors looking to hedge long-term holdings by shorting a portion of their assets during downturns.
    • Traders wanting to engage in futures markets, allowing short positions without owning the underlying asset.
  • Trading Style Focus:
    • Short-term positions, generally held for a few days to a few weeks.
    • Utilizing technical indicators for precise entry and exit points.
    • Automated execution to efficiently manage trades in volatile markets.
    • Prefers traders who can actively monitor and adjust their strategies based on market conditions and signals.

Key Takeaways of Short Swing Bearish MACD Cross (By Coinrule)

  • Strategy Purpose: The strategy targets shorting during downside moves in a downtrend using MACD and EMA indicators.
  • How It Works: Entry is triggered by a MACD bearish cross and when the price is below the 450 EMA, with set take-profit and stop-loss levels.
  • Execution Method: Designed for automated execution with trading bots, but can also be managed manually on TradingView by setting alerts for indicator conditions.
  • Optimization Techniques: Incorporate volume analysis, candlestick patterns, and assess higher timeframes for better entry and exit confirmation.
  • Support and Resistance: Use these levels to enhance accuracy in capturing trend moves and refining trade decisions.
  • Risk Management: Utilize ATR for dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels. Adjust position size based on risk tolerance instead of a fixed percentage.
  • Market Awareness: Monitor economic events that could impact market trends to adjust strategy execution as needed.
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