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ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

Script from: TradingView

Swing

Trend following

Candlestick

The ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit strategy aims to capitalize on market trends, but the claimed 92% win rate isn't accurate, even with Heiken Ashi candles. Backtests using zero trading fees show discrepancies in profitability. Experimentation and adjustment may lead to improved results. Originally combined by @veryfid and @everget.

Kaspa / USDT (KASUSDT)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

2.38

Risk Reward

52.94 %

Total ROI

21

Total Trades

GALA / TetherUS (GALAUSDT)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

1.92

Risk Reward

133.09 %

Total ROI

36

Total Trades

GRT / TetherUS (GRTUSDT)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

1.82

Risk Reward

65.50 %

Total ROI

41

Total Trades

ICP / TetherUS (ICPUSDT)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

1.50

Risk Reward

31.70 %

Total ROI

38

Total Trades

SEI / TetherUS (SEIUSDT)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

1.44

Risk Reward

14.80 %

Total ROI

17

Total Trades

KAIA / TetherUS (KAIAUSDT)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ 2 h

1.42

Risk Reward

28.88 %

Total ROI

74

Total Trades

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

2.81

Risk Reward

46.98 %

Total ROI

21

Total Trades

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

2.05

Risk Reward

82.97 %

Total ROI

45

Total Trades

Snowflake Inc. (SNOW)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

1.84

Risk Reward

47.82 %

Total ROI

40

Total Trades

Alstom (ALO)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

1.61

Risk Reward

63.40 %

Total ROI

74

Total Trades

iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

1.39

Risk Reward

99.84 %

Total ROI

98

Total Trades

Renault (RNO)

+ ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

@ Daily

1.34

Risk Reward

260.29 %

Total ROI

302

Total Trades
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Guide

How does the ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit strategy work ?

The ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit strategy attempts to capitalize on price trends using a combination of indicators. The core components are:

  • ZLSMA (Zero Lag LSMA): This moving average aims to reduce latency seen in traditional averages, providing more timely entry and exit signals.
  • Chandelier Exit: This indicator is used for setting stop losses. It calculates stops based on a multiple of Average True Range (ATR) and places them under highs for short positions and above lows for long positions.

Despite claims of a 92% win rate, testing reveals that results can vary, particularly due to unconsidered trading fees and market conditions. The strategy can benefit from further optimization and fine-tuning, such as adjusting the ZLSMA period or the ATR multiplier, tailored to different market environments.

How to use the ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit strategy ?

This trading strategy employs moving averages as a base for decision making and uses price crossovers to determine buy and sell signals. Specifically, it utilizes the crossover and crossunder of the 50-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) with the 200-period EMA to signal potential trading opportunities. The strategy aims for simplicity, relying on widely recognized moving average signals for entering and exiting trades.

To trade this strategy manually:

  • Add a 50-period EMA on your chart in TradingView.
  • Add a 200-period EMA on your chart.
  • Entry Condition: Execute a buy order when the 50-period EMA crosses above the 200-period EMA. Conversely, execute a sell order when the 50-period EMA crosses below the 200-period EMA.
  • Exit Condition: Close the position when an opposite signal occurs—close a long position when the 50 EMA crosses below the 200 EMA and vice-versa for short positions.
  • Monitor the chart for these crossover signals, as they will indicate potential entry or exit points.

How to optimize the ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit trading strategy ?

While the ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit strategy provides a framework for engaging with market trends, manual trading adjustments can potentially enhance its effectiveness. Here's a plan to improve the strategy for manual trading:

  • Increase Backtesting Rigor: Start by running extensive backtests using historical data, including various market conditions. This will identify periods where the strategy performed well and poorly. Apply realistic transaction costs to these tests to replicate actual trading conditions better.
  • Optimize Period Settings: Experiment with different period settings for the ZLSMA and Chandelier Exit indicators. Adjust the lengths of these indicators to fit the specific asset class and its current volatility. For example, a shorter period might be more effective in volatile markets.
  • Use Additional Indicators: Introduce complementary indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or MACD to affirm trade signals. If RSI shows an overbought or oversold condition that supports a crossover signal, this can add confidence to the trade decision.
  • Establish Clear Entry and Exit Criteria: Define strict conditions for trade entries and exits beyond just crossovers. For instance, use confirmation candles after a crossover and ensure volume is supportive. For exits, consider a mix of trailing stops with Chandelier Exit settings and fixed take profits.
  • Dynamic Position Sizing: Employ a dynamic position sizing method based on risk tolerance and market volatility. Calculate position sizes using the ATR, where the higher the ATR, the smaller the position, to accommodate for larger expected price swings.
  • Regular Review and Adaptation: Schedule periodic checks of the effectiveness of the strategy. Update the settings and parameters based on the latest market trends and structure. Staying agile can mitigate the risk of prolonged periods of underperformance.
  • Document Every Trade: Maintain a detailed trading journal. Record the reasons for entries and exits, the prevailing market conditions, and post-trade analysis. This will help in refining the strategy by learning from historical trades’ successes and mistakes.

For which kind of traders is the ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit strategy suitable ?

The ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit strategy is primarily suited for traders who favor trend-following approaches and those comfortable with leveraging both technical indicators for decision-making. It caters to:

  • Intermediate traders: Those with a basic understanding of technical analysis and experience in manual trading, as the strategy requires adjusting indicator settings and evaluating additional confirmations.
  • Part-time traders: It offers flexibility for those who cannot monitor markets continuously but can set alerts for potential crossover signals.
  • Technical-focused traders: Traders who appreciate in-depth chart analysis and enjoy tinkering with indicators to optimize performance will find this strategy aligns with their trading style.

The strategy is optimal for swing trading due to its reliance on trend identification and stop-loss mechanisms, generally seeking to hold positions over several days to weeks, capitalizing on broader market moves. However, it's adaptable for day traders willing to adjust the parameters for shorter timeframes.

Key Takeaways of ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit

Key takeaways for using and optimizing the ZLSMA + Chandelier Exit strategy:

  • Strategy Overview: Combines ZLSMA for reduced lag in moving averages and Chandelier Exit for stop loss, focusing on market trend identification.
  • How it Works: Utilizes crossovers of EMAs for buy/sell signals, paired with Heiken Ashi candles to improve trend visibility, although the win rate is less than claimed.
  • Use Automation: Set alerts in TradingView for EMA crossovers to automate signal detection without constantly monitoring the market.
  • Manual Trading: Verify signals with additional indicators like RSI for confirmation, ensuring broader market trend alignment before executing trades.
  • Enhance Strategy: Run thorough backtests and adjust ZLSMA/Chandelier Exit parameters, incorporating realistic transaction costs for a more accurate profitability assessment.
  • Position Sizing: Use ATR to determine dynamic position sizes according to market volatility, protecting capital during volatile periods.
  • Risk Management: Combine fixed and trailing stops, leveraging Chandelier Exit's capabilities for effective risk mitigation and profit protection.
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