TEMA/HMA/VWMACD - Short Strategy 4H

Script from: TradingViewIntradayMomentumTrend followingVolatilityVolume

Utilizing the swift nature of BTCUSD declines, this 4-hour short strategy capitalizes on rapid entry and exit points. It integrates VWMACD for histogram plotting, HMA as a trend filter, and TEMA for signal confirmation. Enter trades when VWMACD & TEMA are below 0 and price is under HMA. Exit when VWMACD or TEMA turns positive or price exceeds HMA. Explore more at tradingammo.pro.

Audit verdict

Not rankedUpdated Jul 28, 2026

No reliable edge found

Its average result can't be told apart from chance, so it stays out of our rankings. The script itself passed our repainting audit.

1,141backtests3 markets

40robust scoreranked median 52

0.22p-valueranked median 0.24

10/51pass quality gatebacktests >15 trades

Audit details

How we decide whether a strategy enters our rankings. Read the methodology →

✓

Repainting audit

8 of 8 checks passed.

✓

Script availability

Open-source, still published on TradingView.

Statistical edge

Average t-statistic 1.87 (p = 0.22), below the median of 1.98 (p = 0.24) for ranked strategies.

✓

Quality gate

10 of 51 backtests with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate.

Robust score

40/100, below the median of 52 for ranked strategies.

How its evidence compares

The t-statistic measures how far the average result sits from zero relative to its noise. Below about 2, it is within what random entries produce.

1.87

avg. t-statistic

1.98

median, ranked strategies

Best 5 of 1,141 backtests

Shown for transparency.

Symbol	Timeframe	Net profit	Profit factor	Trades	Max drawdown
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN AMEX:VXX	2H	+240%	1.37	645	22%
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ:MARA	4H	+206%	1.29	502	37%
Stellantis NV EURONEXT:STLAP	2H	+141%	1.26	776	20%
Rivian Automotive, Inc. NASDAQ:RIVN	1H	+100%	1.16	598	32%
HENRY HUB NATURAL GAS FUTURES NYMEX:NG1!	4H	+76%	1.09	932	36%

⚠Selected after the fact: these are the best 5 of 1,141 runs, not what to expect from this strategy.

Is TEMA/HMA/VWMACD - Short Strategy 4H profitable?

Not reliably, based on our tests. Across 1,141 backtests, 10 of 51 with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate. The best result is +240% on iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (2H, 645 trades). On average, its results are statistically indistinguishable from chance (p = 0.22).

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