Swing Trend Strategy

Script from: TradingViewSwingTrend followingVolumeVolatility

Swing Trend Strategy employs a 200-period Exponential Moving Average for trend detection and a 10-period Average True Range to avoid fakeouts. Long positions are initiated during uptrends—defined as price closing above EMA plus ATR—and closed when falling below the EMA. Similarly, short positions open during downtrends—when price is under EMA minus ATR—and close above the EMA. Optimal on 4-hour charts for BTC and ETH, settings are adjustable, including ATR multipliers and MA types.

Audit verdict

Not rankedUpdated Jul 28, 2026

No reliable edge found

Its average result can't be told apart from chance, so it stays out of our rankings. The script itself passed our repainting audit.

2,104backtests3 markets

16robust scoreranked median 52

0.38p-valueranked median 0.24

2/172pass quality gatebacktests >15 trades

Audit details

How we decide whether a strategy enters our rankings. Read the methodology →

✓

Repainting audit

8 of 8 checks passed.

✓

Script availability

Open-source, still published on TradingView.

Statistical edge

Average t-statistic 1.03 (p = 0.38), below the median of 1.98 (p = 0.24) for ranked strategies.

✓

Quality gate

2 of 172 backtests with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate.

Robust score

16/100, below the median of 52 for ranked strategies.

How its evidence compares

The t-statistic measures how far the average result sits from zero relative to its noise. Below about 2, it is within what random entries produce.

1.03

avg. t-statistic

1.98

median, ranked strategies

Best 5 of 2,104 backtests

Shown for transparency.

Symbol	Timeframe	Net profit	Profit factor	Trades	Max drawdown
Cronos/Tether OKX:CROUSDT	4H	+4,842%	1.72	97	54%
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD	1D	+3,858%	2.11	116	41%
AVAX / TetherUS BINANCE:AVAXUSDT	4H	+3,245%	1.37	92	51%
Cardano / TetherUS BINANCE:ADAUSDT	4H	+2,488%	1.31	132	69%
SAND / TetherUS BINANCE:SANDUSDT	4H	+2,225%	1.26	98	57%

⚠Selected after the fact: these are the best 5 of 2,104 runs, not what to expect from this strategy.

Is Swing Trend Strategy profitable?

Not reliably, based on our tests. Across 2,104 backtests, 2 of 172 with more than 15 trades pass our quality gate. The best result is +4,842% on Cronos/Tether (4H, 97 trades). On average, its results are statistically indistinguishable from chance (p = 0.38).

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