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Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

Script from: TradingView

Swing

Breakout

Trend following

Momentum

The "Yesterday's High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy" capitalizes on trend momentum by entering long positions at the break of the previous day's high. It incorporates diverse exit methodologies, including fixed Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, a trailing-stop with adjustable offset, or exiting if the price closes under a certain EMA. Filters based on pair volatility and a gap above yesterday's high minimize false breakouts, tailored to cryptos like NULS with specific percentage parameters for optimal trade execution.

FTX Token / TetherUS (FTTUSDT)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ Daily

1.81

Risk Reward

3,361.82 %

Total ROI

390

Total Trades

USTCUSDT SPOT (USTCUSDT)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ 4 h

1.73

Risk Reward

73,785.37 %

Total ROI

528

Total Trades

USTCUSDT SPOT (USTCUSDT)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ Daily

1.71

Risk Reward

21,004.68 %

Total ROI

310

Total Trades

Bitcoin SV (BSVUSD)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ Daily

1.69

Risk Reward

3,152.95 %

Total ROI

442

Total Trades

IMX / TetherUS (IMXUSDT)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ Daily

1.64

Risk Reward

752.61 %

Total ROI

300

Total Trades

Premium users only

Premium users can access all backtests with a Risk/Reward Ratio > 3

@ Daily

4.65

Risk Reward

337.52 %

Total ROI

81

Total Trades

Premium users only

Premium users can access all backtests with a Risk/Reward Ratio > 3

@ 4 h

3.38

Risk Reward

428.75 %

Total ROI

95

Total Trades

CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ Daily

2.18

Risk Reward

161.70 %

Total ROI

67

Total Trades

Pinterest, Inc. (PINS)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ 15 min

2.14

Risk Reward

208.48 %

Total ROI

105

Total Trades

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (ZIM)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ Daily

2.08

Risk Reward

753.84 %

Total ROI

222

Total Trades

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ Daily

2.02

Risk Reward

6,469,740.91 %

Total ROI

1238

Total Trades

Charles Schwab Corporation (The) (SCHW)

+ Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

@ 5 min

1.90

Risk Reward

2.69 %

Total ROI

23

Total Trades
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Guide

How does the Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy strategy work ?

The "Yesterday's High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy" utilizes the concept of breakouts above the previous day's high to enter long positions. This strategy adapts to the volatility of the market by incorporating several exit methods and operational filters:

  • Entry is triggered when the price breaks above the high of the preceding day. This can happen multiple times within a single day, aligning with a trend-following approach.
  • Exiting a trade can be done through predefined Take-Profit and Stop-Loss percentages, employing a trailing-stop with a set offset, or by closing the position when the candle closes below a specific EMA length, allowing flexibility based on market conditions.
  • Operational filters such as the Rate of Change or gaps to yesterday's high are used to refine entry points and avoid false breakouts. For instance, in the case of the cryptocurrency NULS, a 9% Take-Profit and a 3% Stop-Loss were set. To further avoid premature entries, a 1% gap was added to yesterday's high prices.
  • The strategy is designed for short-term trading on timeframes from 30M to 4H, favoring scenarios where the market exhibits a clear trend and high volatility.

Enhancements can be made to the strategy by modifying its open-source Pine script, which includes various settings such as gap modification, Take-Profit and Stop-Loss levels, and more.

How to use the Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy strategy ?

This trading strategy is based on the concept of buying when the current price is lower than the previous day's high, provided the rate of change (ROC) filter is positive and above a set threshold. It employs trailing stops, stop-loss, and take-profit orders for exit conditions.

To trade this strategy manually on TradingView:

  • Overlay yesterday's high line: Plot the line manually or use the built-in 'Daily High Low' indicator for reference.
  • Calculate the ROC: Use the 'ROC' indicator, set the period to 1 day, and apply the threshold specified in the input settings (default 1).
  • Entry condition: Place a buy stop order slightly above the previous day's high (yesterday's high + a certain percentage specified by the 'Gap' input).
  • Exit conditions:
    • Set a stop-loss as a percentage of the entry price (SL parameter).
    • Set a take-profit at a specified percentage above the entry price (TP parameter).
    • Use a trailing stop-loss, activated once the price moves in your favor by the percentage specified in 'Trailing-stop'.
  • Additional exit strategy: If the 'Close EMA' option is activated, close the trade when the price crosses under an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a specified look-back period (given by the 'EMA length' parameter).

How to optimize the Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy trading strategy ?

Improving the "Yesterday's High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy" manually involves refining entry and exit criteria, applying additional market analysis, and optimizing risk management. Here's a plan to enhance this strategy's effectiveness:

  • Diversify the time frame analysis: While the strategy primarily operates on 30M, 1H, 2H, and 4H time frames, incorporating a longer time frame (like daily or weekly charts) can help confirm the overall trend direction.
  • Optimize entry parameters: The current strategy uses a fixed gap percentage above yesterday's high for entry – consider using a dynamic gap that adjusts to market volatility. Utilize the Average True Range (ATR) to determine a more responsive entry point above the previous day's high.
  • Fine-tune the rate of change filter: Experiment with different thresholds for the ROC to determine the levels which best correlate with successful breakouts in varying market conditions.
  • Enhance exit strategies:
    • Modify take-profit and stop-loss percentages based on volatility, perhaps using the ATR to set dynamic risk-reward ratios.
    • For the trailing-stop, consider a variant that adapts to volatility, such as a Chandelier Exit.
  • Integrate additional technical analysis tools for confirming entries or exits, such as volume analysis (looking for breakout confirmation through unusual volume spikes) or RSI divergence (checking for potential reversals).
  • Incorporate support and resistance levels in managing trades; adjust the stop-loss or take-profit orders based on key levels identified through historical price action.
  • Consider market sentiment by keeping track of news and events that could trigger increased volatility or cause breakouts to fail. This external analysis could provide an extra layer of decision making, affecting the timing and management of trades.
  • Manually backtest the refined strategy parameters on several different assets and market phases to validate their effectiveness and determine any asset-specific adjustments needed.
  • Journal trades and review regularly to identify and eliminate recurring mistakes, while refining the strategy based on actual performance data and observations.

For which kind of traders is the Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy strategy suitable ?

The "Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy" is tailored towards active traders who thrive in a dynamic, high-volatility market environment and prefer short-term, momentum-based trades. This approach is well-suited for day traders who can monitor the markets and manage multiple trades within the intraday timeframes. It resonates with individuals who are comfortable with trend-following methods and have the discipline to stick to strict exit criteria.

Furthermore, the strategy caters to those familiar with technical analysis and can apply additional filters to confirm entry points such as gaps and rate of change. Traders who are adept at adjusting their positions in response to real-time price action will find this strategy particularly appealing. It is especially beneficial for traders focusing on the cryptocurrency markets, where the strategy has been specifically backtested and optimized for such conditions.

Key Takeaways of Yesterday’s High Breakout - Trend Following Strategy

  • Strategy essence: Capitalizes on momentum by entering long when the price exceeds yesterday's high, leverages a rate of change filter, and employs variable exit strategies including take-profit and trailing stops.
  • Automation level: Primarily automated within TradingView's platform, enabling consistent execution; can be complemented with manual oversight for enhanced control.
  • Manual trading adjustment: Refinement possible by manual adjustment of gap percentages and monitoring of volatility indicators such as ATR to inform entry points.
  • Optimization tactics: Fine-tuning ROC thresholds, varying take-profit and stop-loss percentages, employing volatility-based trailing stops, and backtesting enhancements across various assets and timeframes.
  • Risk management: Adjust stop-loss to accommodate market conditions, utilize additional technical analysis (e.g., support/resistance, volume) for informed trade management, and stay abreast of market sentiment.
  • Trader fit: Ideal for day traders experienced in short-term, high-volatility trends, particularly within the crypto space, who are skilled in technical analysis and disciplined in trade executions.
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