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Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

Script from: TradingViewSwingTrend following

This Three EMAs strategy utilizes multiple exponential moving averages (EMAs) to pinpoint trend inception points, with crossovers on three levels (EMA 7, EMA 14, and EMA 21) reducing false signals and indicating potential strong trends. Exits combine a fixed take profit with a volatility stop, offering flexibility to adapt to market changes and secure gains. Optimal on a 4-hour timeframe, it considers a 0.1% trading fee, mirroring Binance's base rate.

PYTH / TetherUS (PYTHUSDT)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ 2 h

1.07

Risk Reward

50.49 %

Total ROI

182

Total Trades

Litecoin / TetherUS (LTCUSDT)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ 2 h

1.03

Risk Reward

59.49 %

Total ROI

370

Total Trades

SNX / TetherUS (SNXUSDT)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ 4 h

1.01

Risk Reward

27.00 %

Total ROI

244

Total Trades

NEO / TetherUS (NEOUSDT)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ 4 h

1.01

Risk Reward

13.92 %

Total ROI

240

Total Trades

DOT / TetherUS (DOTUSDT)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ 4 h

1.00

Risk Reward

6.45 %

Total ROI

212

Total Trades

Premium users only

Premium users can access all backtests with a Risk/Reward Ratio > 3

@ Daily

12.22

Risk Reward

563.80 %

Total ROI

22

Total Trades

Premium users only

Premium users can access all backtests with a Risk/Reward Ratio > 3

@ Daily

5.01

Risk Reward

105.73 %

Total ROI

17

Total Trades

Linde plc (LIN)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ Daily

2.80

Risk Reward

89.79 %

Total ROI

31

Total Trades

Western Digital Corporation (WDC)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ 2 h

2.76

Risk Reward

365.06 %

Total ROI

104

Total Trades

Western Digital Corporation (WDC)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ Daily

2.70

Risk Reward

140.44 %

Total ROI

39

Total Trades

Applovin Corporation (APP)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ 1 h

2.07

Risk Reward

1,168.86 %

Total ROI

147

Total Trades

Citigroup, Inc. (C)

+ Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

@ 4 h

2.06

Risk Reward

110.50 %

Total ROI

48

Total Trades
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Guide

How does the Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule) strategy work ?

The Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy capitalizes on the premise that a confirmed trend provides more reliable trade signals. It employs the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of 7, 14, and 21 periods to verify the start of a new trend through the following criteria:

  • A simultaneous crossover of the price above all three EMAs - EMA 7, EMA 14, and EMA 21 - indicates an entry point. This confluence minimizes false signals and suggests a strong emerging trend.

The exit strategy is two-fold:

  • A fixed profit target at a 4% price increase.
  • Or when the price dips below a volatility-adjusted trailing stop—to exit on trend reversal or weakening momentum.

The strategy performs optimally on a 4-hour time frame, considering a standard trading fee of 0.1%, mirroring Binance’s base fee. The built-in TradingView script ensures efficient execution by dynamically updating the volatility stop and processing orders based on these predefined rules.

How to use the Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule) strategy ?

This trading strategy involves entering a long position when the price crosses above all three exponential moving averages (EMAs) with periods of 7, 12, and 21. The exit occurs when the price surpasses the take-profit level or drops below the volatility stop.

To trade this strategy manually on TradingView:

  • Add three EMAs to your chart with periods of 7 (short), 12 (medium), and 21 (long).
  • Define a take-profit level as 4% above your entry price.
  • Calculate the Average True Range (ATR) and establish a volatility stop by multiplying the ATR by a factor of 3, adjusting the stop according to the price movement.
  • Enter a long position when the price moves above all three EMAs.
  • Exit the position when the price reaches the take-profit level or if it crosses below the volatility stop.

How to optimize the Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule) trading strategy ?

To enhance the Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy for manual trading on TradingView, consider the following adjustments:

  • Refine Entry Points: To mitigate the lag inherent in EMAs, incorporate price action signals such as bullish engulfing patterns or hammer candles for confirmation of trend reversals. This allows for entries closer to the beginning of a new trend, potentially leading to larger gains.
  • Additional Confirmation Indicators: Introduce complementary indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). An RSI value above 70 or MACD crossing above its signal line could strengthen the confirmation for an entry, increasing the strategy's robustness.
  • Adjust the Volatility Stop: Customize the volatility stop by considering the asset's volatility history. Opt for a longer period and a dynamic multiplier based on recent market conditions. This tailoring can better accommodate the asset's typical movements, preventing premature exits.
  • Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Validate entry and exit signals by looking at multiple time frames. For instance, a trend identified on a 4-hour chart should be confirmed by the trend direction on the daily chart. A multi-timeframe approach can filter out less probable trades.
  • Scaling In and Out: Instead of entering and exiting with a single order, implement a scaling strategy. Enter with a partial position and add to it as the trend confirms its strength. Conversely, scale out of positions, taking partial profits at different levels to lock in gains and minimize risk.
  • Take Profit Variability: Rather than having a fixed percentage for take profit, adjust the level according to key support and resistance areas. If the take-profit level sits just below a strong resistance, consider taking profits earlier to anticipate potential retracements.
  • End-of-Day Review: Engage in a daily analysis after market close to assess whether the trend aligns with overall market sentiment. This review can lead to fine-tuning of existing positions or preparing for the next trading day with a more informed outlook.

By judiciously integrating these improvements, a trader can craft a more sensitive and nuanced approach to the Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy, adapting to diverse market conditions for potentially better outcomes.

For which kind of traders is the Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule) strategy suitable ?

This strategy is tailor-made for traders who prefer a systematic, trend-following approach to the markets. Suited particularly for:

  • Swing traders: With the optimal time frame at 4-hours, it's ideal for those looking to capitalize on movements that play out over several days.
  • Technically inclined traders: Those who rely on technical indicators for clear entry and exit points will find the use of multiple EMAs and volatility stops align with their style.
  • Traders seeking measured exposure: The incorporation of a fixed take profit and a volatility stop allows for calculated risk management fitting for cautious traders.
  • Adaptable traders: The ability to adjust take profit levels based on confidence in the asset offers flexibility for aggressive or conservative approaches.

This strategy's structured setup is also appealing to new traders in the cryptocurrency space who aim to follow clear rules rather than engage in speculative trading.

Key Takeaways of Three EMAs Trend-following Strategy (by Coinrule)

  • Strategy Essence: The use of three EMAs to determine entry points and a volatility stop combined with a fixed take profit for exits.
  • Automated Trading: TradingView script enables traders to backtest and execute trades automatically within defined parameters.
  • Manual Trading: Manual application involves setting EMAs on the chart, entering upon crossover confirmation, and exiting based on price movement and volatility.
  • Optimized Performance: Enhancements include refining entry points with additional price signals, using extra indicators, and adapting to multi-timeframe analysis for more accurate trades.
  • Targeted Traders: Swing and technically inclined traders, as well as those who favor a structured approach with manageable risk levels.
  • Risk Management: By scaling in and out of positions and adjusting take-profit levels according to market conditions, traders can better control risk.
  • Alerts Utility: Setting alerts for EMA crossovers and observing price proximity to volatility stops, allowing for timely decision-making.
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